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Prize Picks is daily fantasy football made simple. Check out their slate of players and scoring lines. Then pick whether player will score over or under that line in full-PPR (point-per-reception) fantasy points!
We've run through the lines this week and pulled out some of our favorites. We break down some of the important factors in each line so you can make the most informed picks possible! Remember to use the promo code FANTASYHQ for a 100% match on your first deposit of up to $100.
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Derrick Henry vs CIN - 21.5 points - UNDER (Jared)
This isn’t in any way an anti- Derrick Henry take. It’s just that a 21.5-point line is so high. Henry has been awesome this year… and he’s only broken 20 in two of his six games. Cincinnati is a pretty soft matchup, but it’s entirely possible that Henry has an incredible game and doesn’t break 20 if the TDs happen to go to one of the receivers instead. It’ll feel bad if Henry goes off for 40. (And if he goes over 21, he’s probably going way over it with multiple TDs). But I think picking the under is smartly playing the odds on this one.
Dalvin Cook @ GB - 17.5 points - UNDER (Jared)
I’m going after top-tier RBs this week - we’ll see if the strategy pays off. Cook is averaging 22.5 points a game in games he’s played, and in fact, he’s only been under the 17.5-point line once. But baked into this pick line is the possibility of Cook either (1) not playing or (2) having his touches limited as he returns from injury. This is a lost season for my beloved Vikings. And as much as the coaching staff is fighting for their jobs (and know a spoiler win over rival Green Bay would go a long ways toward placating the fanbase), I think they see Cook as a long-term franchise player, and they won’t overuse him in a blowout loss. So the under pick here is basically playing the odds that Cook is either (1) a surprise inactive on Sunday, (2) has his touches limited or (3) gets mostly pulled if the game gets completely out of hand early. Which is sadly a strong possibility.
Diontae Johnson @ BAL - 12.5 points - OVER (Jared)
I have to be positive with at least one matchup this week, right? Diontae Johnson is such a target hog that a 12.5-point line is laughably low - if he’s healthy. We don’t really know if he’s at 100%, and no one can know if he’s going to come up limping in the first quarter. But in his three full games played this year, Johnson has had double digit targets in all three. In PPR, those double digit targets are going to add up to double digit points, even against a really stingy defense. Don’t take this one if you have any concern about his toe injury. But after he resumed full practices this weekend, we feel comfortable about his health for week 8.
Jarvis Landry vs LV - 12.5 points - UNDER (Jared)
This one really feels like picking how much Landry’s stock will rise with Odell Beckham Jr. out for the season. Landry has gone over 12.5 just twice in seven games, and one of those times he was barely (0.3 points) over the line. Even last week, with OBJ leaving the game very early, Landry got just 6 targets - not even his season-high and pretty much in line with what he’s averaged the rest of the year. We expect the targets in Cleveland to be spread around between Landry, Hunt, the tight end group (Austin Hooper is out again, but Harrison Bryant and David Njoku are still options) and the young receivers who got targets last week: 6 for Rashard Higgins and 3 for Donovan Peoples-Jones. Landry himself has been carrying some lingering injuries this year, so we’d lean the under here unless you really believe the team will gameplan the offense around him in the post-OBJ run.
A.J. Brown @ CIN - 16.5 points - OVER (Jared)
A.J. Brown is averaging 20.1 points a game - and that’s even including an 8.9-point season-opener. In his three games since returning from injury, Brown has 21, 22, and 27 points in full-PPR. This 16.5-point line is still relatively high - only three receivers have higher lines this week. But against Cincinnati, we feel like Brown has a very good chance to exceed 16.5, especially if his three-game touchdown streak continues. Be warned: compared to the picks above, this one is much more touchdown dependent. But Brown would have crossed 16.5 even without a touchdown last week, so there’s some built-in security in his target volume.
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